Bulls stay hot, top Blazers in OT
Basketball Betting Lines
02/26/2010 -
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Luol Deng scored seven points in overtime, and
Derrick Rose scored 33 overall, leading the Chicago Bulls to a 115-111 victory
over the Portland Trail Blazers.
Deng finished with 23 points and seven boards, while Rose went 15-of-25 from
the field for the Bulls, who have won six of seven overall and snapped a five-
game losing streak to the Blazers. Kirk Hinrich provided 17 points, while
Hakim Warrick had 15 in the win.
LaMarcus Aldridge scored 32 points and grabbed seven rebounds for Portland,
which fell to 2-1 on a five-game road trip. Brandon Roy added 23 points and
six assists, while Andre Miller had 14 points and seven assists in defeat.
Roy gave the Blazers a 107-106 lead with a layup just over a minute into
overtime, but the Bulls scored the next six points to take control.
Hinrich, Deng and Taj Gibson each hit a shot on consecutive possessions for
Chicago, putting the hosts ahead by five with two minutes to go.
The Blazers missed four consecutive shots during that spurt; Gibson had an
excellent block on Aldridge with a minute to go, but Joakim Noah threw away
the rebound, leading to an Aldridge dunk for a 112-109 game with 55.3 ticks
left.
Gibson was stripped of the ball in the lane on the next Bulls possession, but
Roy missed both free throw attempts after being fouled. Fortunately for
Portland, Aldridge got inside position and tipped the ball in with 21.9
seconds left for a one-point contest.
Deng made only 1-of-2 free throws a second later, and Roy went to the lane for
a tying shot. He couldn't get a good look and settled for a potential go-ahead
three that fell short. Deng was able to get a fast-break dunk with a second
left to seal the game.
The Bulls jumped out to a 30-22 lead after one quarter, but the Blazers
managed to climb to within 52-51 at halftime.
Jerryd Bayless hit a trio of free throws with 4:14 left in the third to cap a
14-4 burst that put Portland ahead by nine, 73-64, but Chicago dominated the
remainder of the period and grabbed an 80-79 lead heading to the fourth on a
Noah tip shot in the final moments.
The teams traded the lead several times in the fourth, and the Bulls took a
96-95 advantage with four minutes left after a Rose layup capped a 6-0 burst.
The Bulls held a 100-99 lead after a Noah basket with 2 1/2 minutes remaining
in the game, and Rose expanded the advantage to three with a deft move down
the lane and a soft floating layup with two minutes to go.
The Blazers struggled to close the gap, failing to come away with points on
each of its next three possessions.
Chicago couldn't extend its lead, and as Rose held for a shot with 30 seconds
to play, Portland double-teamed him, forcing the second-year player to turn
the ball over. Roy grabbed the loose ball and converted a layup with 25.5
seconds left to make it a one-point game.
Brad Miller eventually went to the line for Chicago but could only hit one of
his two attempts, and Roy quickly came down the court and tied the game on a
floater with 16 seconds left.
Rose waited for the final shot and drove to the hoop, but his high-arching
layup attempt rimmed out to send the game to overtime.
Game Notes
The teams split the season series, 1-1...Portland's three-game road win streak
came to an end...The Bulls are 17-7 over their last 24 games...The Blazers
also visit Minnesota and Memphis on their road trip...Chicago is 5-1 in
overtime this season.
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Sportsbooks to bet on football
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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